The selected 300 discussions cover eight offices and 24 office-month strata.
Intervals are 95% percentile intervals from 2,000 discussion resamples within those strata.
Differences subtract matched climatology error from forecast error; negative values favor the forecast.
The sample excludes predecessor readings. Human, field-blind and consistency comparisons remain unmeasured.
Independent extraction labels are absent for this generated sample; the 80% accuracy, 85% recall and 5 F reading-error criteria have no new measurements here.
These results describe the earlier saved generation; the current completed-training generation remains incomplete.

Rain probability.

| Office | Discussions | Scored claims | Matched claims | Forecast error [95% interval] | Climatology error [95% interval] | Difference [95% interval] | Skill [95% interval] |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---|---|---|
| overall | 300 | 1326 | 1326 | 0.1618 [0.1365, 0.1916] | 0.1705 [0.1466, 0.1981] | -0.0087 [-0.0210, 0.0046] | 0.0512 [-0.0277, 0.1234] |
| AJK | 15 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| BOU | 44 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| HFO | 24 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| HGX | 35 | 268 | 268 | 0.1371 [0.0924, 0.1864] | 0.1555 [0.1125, 0.2013] | -0.0184 [-0.0467, 0.0132] | 0.1182 [-0.0880, 0.2951] |
| LOX | 46 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| MFL | 39 | 770 | 770 | 0.2052 [0.1674, 0.2507] | 0.2195 [0.1828, 0.2629] | -0.0143 [-0.0312, 0.0047] | 0.0650 [-0.0225, 0.1424] |
| OKX | 61 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| OUN | 36 | 288 | 288 | 0.0686 [0.0395, 0.1010] | 0.0536 [0.0323, 0.0781] | 0.0150 [0.0008, 0.0320] | -0.2802 [-0.6251, -0.0145] |

Daytime temperature.

| Office | Discussions | Scored claims | Matched claims | Forecast error [95% interval] | Climatology error [95% interval] | Difference [95% interval] | Skill [95% interval] |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---|---|---|
| overall | 300 | 673 | 673 | 4.1551 [3.7334, 4.6056] | 5.2034 [4.5703, 5.8144] | -1.0483 [-1.7318, -0.3156] | 0.2015 [0.0667, 0.3042] |
| AJK | 15 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| BOU | 44 | 1 | 1 | 1.0000 [1.0000, 1.0000] | 2.2857 [2.2857, 2.2857] | -1.2857 [-1.2857, -1.2857] | 0.5625 [0.5625, 0.5625] |
| HFO | 24 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| HGX | 35 | 137 | 137 | 4.0964 [3.4511, 4.7409] | 6.3102 [4.8607, 7.8991] | -2.2138 [-3.9010, -0.6425] | 0.3508 [0.1275, 0.5092] |
| LOX | 46 | 2 | 2 | 13.5000 [13.5000, 13.5000] | 19.8571 [19.8571, 19.8571] | -6.3571 [-6.3571, -6.3571] | 0.3201 [0.3201, 0.3201] |
| MFL | 39 | 389 | 389 | 2.4684 [2.0503, 2.9408] | 2.7296 [2.4086, 3.0615] | -0.2612 [-0.7060, 0.2217] | 0.0957 [-0.0876, 0.2452] |
| OKX | 61 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| OUN | 36 | 144 | 144 | 8.6597 [7.2774, 10.1667] | 10.6500 [8.3704, 12.9505] | -1.9903 [-4.4680, 0.5351] | 0.1869 [-0.0583, 0.3631] |

Overnight temperature.

| Office | Discussions | Scored claims | Matched claims | Forecast error [95% interval] | Climatology error [95% interval] | Difference [95% interval] | Skill [95% interval] |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---|---|---|
| overall | 300 | 667 | 667 | 4.8279 [4.3022, 5.3790] | 5.6722 [4.9962, 6.3720] | -0.8443 [-1.7630, 0.0603] | 0.1489 [-0.0116, 0.2839] |
| AJK | 15 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| BOU | 44 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| HFO | 24 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| HGX | 35 | 136 | 136 | 5.1691 [4.1471, 6.1990] | 6.9330 [5.4492, 8.4800] | -1.7639 [-3.9332, 0.2688] | 0.2544 [-0.0504, 0.4780] |
| LOX | 46 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| MFL | 39 | 387 | 387 | 3.7318 [3.1701, 4.3469] | 4.3938 [3.5648, 5.2105] | -0.6620 [-1.5179, 0.2559] | 0.1507 [-0.0695, 0.3083] |
| OKX | 61 | 0 | 0 | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| OUN | 36 | 144 | 144 | 7.4514 [5.9790, 9.0071] | 7.9173 [6.1376, 9.7065] | -0.4659 [-3.1388, 2.2440] | 0.0588 [-0.3505, 0.3338] |

Temperature errors are in degrees Fahrenheit. Rain probability uses Brier error.
The full interval file retains all claim groups, lead times and undefined-replicate counts.