22 October 2026
Orbit studies on 22 October 2026
0 studies were read against their pass lines on 22 October 2026; 0 runs finished and 0 were still running at the end of the day.
The readings for each study follow, with the work still owed.
What ran and finished
No runs were recorded for this date.
What the runs showed
The resonant gravity study remains provisional. No new verdict was recorded for this date.
Next
The detector rerun: name the 15 objects behind the failed check against the published counts (11 passive, 4 payload) from an object table as of 20 September, and rerun the check with it. The close-pass study: a check of the low-orbit factor on debris or rocket bodies with precise orbits; today 11 objects (five laser spheres, six altimetry satellites) set every non-Starlink low ellipse, along-track factor 13.8. The burn-cadence detector: a declaration level chosen on held-out data that meets pass lines 1 and 2 together: thresholds rebuilt from each window's own resampled residuals, or a level set on the years the recall covers (the 2023 to 2025 passive windows give 80.959, where recall is 0.0302). The error atlas: split the residuals by object and element-set age and measure each group's calibration influence, to tell a directional mismatch from sparse calibration. The thermosphere study: the comparison with the published catalog-derived density record (Narayanan, Sicoli and Mehta, arXiv 2604.24646) and with Gondelach and Linares 2020: yearly quiet-day ratio and storm rise by shell. The two full-depth screen runs (authority and deep): the authority comparison outside the 37 days the public message store holds (needs a longer message archive). The reentry forecast: figure: reentry error against the number of sets in the fit window (what carries the two-day error). The fuel gauge: the belt delta-v record as a site reading (per fleet, per year), with the passive floor beside it. The avoidance map: a who-moves-for-whom reading on the fleets whose own ephemerides are public (SpaceX), with the ephemeris as truth instead of the catalog. The intercept forecast: a null matched to held belt satellites' slot spacing before the 3.5x excess is read. The antenna study: compare the pattern with each slot's station-keeping history. The kick study: nothing from the public elements; a reading would need the publisher's tracking data. The wind study: reopen only with an independent drag scale per object (an accelerometer-calibrated density record would do; the catalog alone cannot). The resonant gravity study: v4 with physical drag. The storm-wave study: nothing from the public elements; the daily fit span smears the arrival.
Built by code from the day's records; the house model's draft did not pass the checks. The sections on what ran and on failures are built by code from the facts. The day's facts ยท the check.